Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 0.329629 0.355462 0.383122 0.415072 0.451125 0.490742 0.537835
2025-01-12 0.266286 0.301378 0.341814 0.392446 0.455008 0.530966 0.632079
2025-01-19 0.226165 0.264899 0.311974 0.374636 0.457867 0.567777 0.729795
2025-01-26 0.207092 0.249779 0.304119 0.380557 0.489233 0.645185 0.901178
2025-02-02 0.197021 0.243977 0.306335 0.398739 0.539192 0.758802 1.164770
2025-02-09 0.183763 0.232037 0.298210 0.400285 0.563939 0.838864 1.404068
2025-02-16 0.170214 0.218121 0.285401 0.392492 0.571707 0.891362 1.613381
2025-02-23 0.160593 0.208697 0.277846 0.391338 0.589605 0.965944 1.908781
2025-03-02 0.150856 0.198223 0.267581 0.384273 0.595500 1.018330 2.181781
2025-03-09 0.142274 0.188751 0.257917 0.376874 0.599235 1.066974 2.478453
2025-03-16 0.134861 0.180479 0.249371 0.370282 0.603213 1.117170 2.820944
2025-03-23 0.130958 0.177192 0.248335 0.376504 0.633415 1.238359 3.537432
2025-03-30 0.123916 0.168912 0.239036 0.367662 0.632769 1.287102 4.052597
2025-04-06 0.116095 0.159085 0.226689 0.352304 0.616502 1.291859 4.395112
2025-04-13 0.109189 0.150352 0.215630 0.338402 0.601628 1.297723 4.779893
2025-04-20 0.106357 0.147888 0.214877 0.344008 0.632103 1.451155 6.438667
2025-04-27 0.105422 0.148370 0.219127 0.359854 0.690523 1.728492 10.358245
2025-05-04 0.102250 0.145006 0.216395 0.361264 0.713495 1.897531 14.582738
2025-05-11 0.098122 0.139839 0.210104 0.354593 0.714018 1.980801 18.551085
2025-05-18 0.095117 0.136391 0.206669 0.353612 0.729960 2.141766 27.153336
2025-05-25 0.091619 0.131942 0.201134 0.347531 0.730477 2.235473 37.016945
2025-06-01 0.088314 0.127677 0.195690 0.341151 0.729085 2.321951 51.634138
2025-06-08 0.085313 0.123802 0.190753 0.335459 0.728826 2.417298 76.872638